Professional Paradigms New and Old (2): You Had Me At The Creds

I met a friend for a beer last Thursday, and told him about my blog post that day about the future (actually the end) of the professions.

“I’ve got a story for you about that,” he said. “I thought now that I’m retired, I should get my affairs in order.”

I practiced estate planning, so my ears perked up. He told me about all the useful information, forms, and software he’d found online, also about the estate planning seminars he’d attended and the presenting lawyers’ “don’t try this at home” pitches. And his incredulous response to their fee quotes “for things I could do myself.”

He’s newly retired from an illustrious teaching career — an Ivy League grad, six published books, awards and accolades everywhere. He has a huge and healthy respect for the professions and professionalism. And he had more to say.

“In education, it’s gotten to the point where it’s, why even bother to go to school? It’s all available online. You can learn what you want, your own way.”

Then he paused. “But I still wouldn’t go to a surgeon who didn’t have the credentials.”

Ah, the credentials. Is that why people still go to law school, med school, get a CPA, a teaching certificate?

Yes, in part, but the world of professional credentials is changing. I talked about this in a post last March called Strange Bedfellows:  Commercial Law and Legal Ethics. Here’s an excerpt:

“Peer-to-peer is what’s driving the new sharing economy. Consider this from a recent article in Time Magazine:

“The key to [the sharing economy] was the discovery that while we totally distrust strangers, we totally trust people — significantly more than we trust corporations or governments. Many sharing-company founders have one thing in common:  they worked at eBay and, in bits and pieces, recreated that company’s trust and safety division. Rather than rely on insurance and background checks, its innovation was getting both the provider and the user to rate each other, usually with one to five stars. That eliminates the few bad actors who made everyone too nervous to deal with strangers.”

In that post, I made these two predictions (among others):

  • The peer-to-peer dynamic will prevail in significant economic sectors — including the professional service sector of which the legal profession is a part.
  • The resulting consumer satisfaction data will have a curious side effect as a new kind of legal ethics watchdog.

As for the latter, I said this:

“Peer-to-peer is the ultimate in self-policing, which makes its extension to legal ethics unlikely but logical. Rule 8.3 — the duty to report unethical behavior among our peers — has long been a part of the Model Rules of Professional Conduct, but has been more honored in the breach than the observance. The new, democratized marketplace will take this matter into its own hands.”

In other words. the professional paradigm will shift — in fact, is already shifting — to include peer-to-peer review as an alternative form of professional credentialing.

True, the typical consumer still wants law school and bar admittance credentials for the legal equivalent of surgery, but for the rest, we’re seeing a major shift in consumer attitudes toward my friend’s — to the point where the consumer is more likely to buy from someone (lawyer or not, which is its own topic) who gets 20 five-star ratings for estate planning offered at a reasonable price (which my buddy gave as 10% of what the seminar lawyers were charging). They’ve got the creds the consumer wants… just a different kind.

Like it or not, it’s happening out there in the New Economy marketplace, and we’ll see more of it in our house. We’re not all the way to lawyers posting client ratings on a five-star scale yet, but one day… I’ll bet it happens. I also bet that day will come way sooner than most lawyers would care to predict.

For Bill Gates’ take on the value of a college education credentials, check out his post yesterday on LinkedIn Pulse.

And for a toe dip into the New Economy, take a look here and here.

The Legal Times They Are A Changin 4  33%

 

Check out this collection of last year’s Future of Law blog posts. It’s a FREE download. Also included is the Culture of Law series from the second half of 2015. Click this link or the cover for downloading details.

The Future of Law (Part Eight) Strange Bedfellows:  Commercial Law and Legal Ethics

“Misery makes strange bedfellows.”
Shakespeare, The Tempest

 This week’s first prediction:

  • The law of commercial transactions will take on a Bitcoin dynamic.

This is from the Bitcoin website:

“Bitcoin uses peer-to-peer technology to operate with no central authority or banks; managing transactions and the issuing of bitcoins is carried out collectively by the network. Bitcoin is open-source; its design is public, nobody owns or controls Bitcoin and everyone can take part.”

That’s pure democratization, folks! The key is “peer-to-peer”:  if you and I agree that a business or network or other medium of exchange has value, then it does, and conventional metrics be damned. Think Amazon and Facebook:  both immensely valuable; neither shows a profit.

Peer-to-peer is what’s driving the new sharing economy. Consider this from a recent article in Time Magazine:

“The key to [the sharing economy] was the discovery that while we totally distrust strangers, we totally trust people — significantly more than we trust corporations or governments. Many sharing-company founders have one thing in common:  they worked at eBay and, in bits and pieces, recreated that company’s trust and safety division. Rather than rely on insurance and background checks, its innovation was getting both the provider and the user to rate each other, usually with one to five stars. That eliminates the few bad actors who made everyone too nervous to deal with strangers.”

(For more on this topic, see this week’s stories in Forbes and USA Today.)

  • Peer-to-peer will alter the key commercial concepts of valuation and contract consideration.
  • Commercial trust — deciding who you’re going to do business with — and related issues such as fairness and fraud will be built increasingly on the ratings you get from the people you do business with.

The sharing industry has more than a toehold on the economy:  a graphic in the Time article shows that it has already raised billions of dollars in startup capital. It will only get bigger, despite the fact that…

“It’s unclear if most of this is legal. The disrupters are being taken on by governments and the entrenched institutions they are challenging… [T]here are thousands of companies — in areas such as food, education, and finance — that promise to turn nearly every aspect of our lives into contested ground, poking holes in the social contract if need be. After transforming or destroying publishing, television and music, technology has come after the service sector.”

The legal profession is of course busy representing the “governments and entrenched institutions” trying to tax, license, and otherwise bring the sharing economy into conventional legal boundaries. Lawyers will win some and lose some, but in time…

  • The peer-to-peer dynamic will prevail in significant economic sectors — including the professional service sector of which the legal profession is a part.
  • As a result, peer-to-peer review of commercial transactions will extend to the parties’ legal counsel.
  • The resulting consumer satisfaction data will have a curious side effect as a new kind of legal ethics watchdog.

Peer-to-peer is the ultimate in self-policing, which makes its extension to legal ethics unlikely but logical. Rule 8.3 — the duty to report unethical behavior among our peers — has long been a part of the Model Rules of Professional Conduct, but has been more honored in the breach than the observance. The new, democratized marketplace will take this matter into its own hands.

Strange bedfellows, indeed.